Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN)

Finnish Economic Policy Council background report: Lump-sum transfers are the most effective way to address unequal fuel tax burdens to low-income households

Share

According to a background report for the Finnish Economic Policy Council, lump-sum transfers are better at improving the equity of fuel taxation compared to reductions in income or fuel taxes. Tax reductions would disproportionately benefit high-income households. Furthermore, reductions in fuel taxes could create harmful incentives to increase driving.

Excise taxes on fuels are the most effective way to mitigate road transport emissions in Finland, as they create continuous incentives to reduce annual mileage. However, the burden of the tax is higher on low-income car-owning households. The new background report for the Economic Policy Council analyses various models of compensation. The report is written by doctoral researcher Selina Clarke and the empirical analysis conducted by researcher Kimmo Palanne.

“To sum it up, a lump-sum transfer would compensate costs to low-income households, while not encouraging more driving,” says Clarke.

Low-income car-owners carry relatively high fuel tax burden

When looking at all households, fuel expenditure as a share of income is relatively small, approximately below 4 percent, and is the highest for households in the 6th-8th income deciles. However, when we only look at car-owning households, fuel expenditure as a share of income is considerably higher for low-income households – fuel expenses are over 10 percent for the lowest income decile and below 3 percent for the highest income decile.

Average household fuel expenditure

A lump-sum transfer is the most effective way to reduce fuel costs

Compensation can effectively even out differences in tax burdens between income deciles. A lump-sum transfer is the most effective way to reduce the burden of taxation in the lowest income deciles. Furthermore, lump-sum transfers are expected to generate fewer environmentally harmful incentives compared to, for example, reductions in fuel taxes. The latter would make driving relatively cheaper.

Conversely, reductions in income or fuel taxes would disproportionately benefit high-income households who drive more and pay more tax.

Based on a comparison of different compensation measures, lump-sum transfers to households appear to be slightly better at reducing distributional effects across income deciles compared to transfers proportional to household size. The more strongly the compensation is tied to household size, the more households in higher income deciles benefit, because they tend to be larger. Furthermore, lump-sum transfers are also likely to involve lower administrative costs.

“As an example of the lump-sum transfer, households in some Canadian provinces receive a state tax refund four times per year. The refund is paid from the province's carbon dioxide tax revenue,” says Palanne.

The analysis utilises the Finnish Transport Safety Agency Traficom’s data (2016) to determine vehicle owners and each car’s annual distance driven in kilometres. Secondly, using Statistics Finland’s FOLK-dataset, it was possible to assign car owners to households and calculate each household’s total fuel costs and their ratio to household disposable income. In 2016, a total of €1,295 million petrol excise taxes and €1,362 million diesel excise taxes were collected. The estimated revenue from the carbon tax components was 809.7 million euros.The tax refunds modeled in the report are based on distributing this carbon tax revenue.

The Council publishes an annual report for 2022 evaluating recent economic policy decisions on Wednesday February 1st. Green transition is one of the of the topics of the report seminar.

Contacts

Images

Documents

About Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN)

Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN)
Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN)



https://www.talouspolitiikanarviointineuvosto.fi/

The Finnish Economic Policy Council was established in 2014 to provide independent evaluation of the objectives of economic policy and the effectiveness of the policy measures chosen. Through its work, the Council aims to improve the quality of economic policy decision-making and preparatory work, and to bring an independent and research-based perspective to the public discussion on economic policy. 

Subscribe to releases from Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN)

Subscribe to all the latest releases from Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN) by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.

Latest releases from Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto (TPAN)

Ekonomipolitiskt råd: Nästa regering behöver en trovärdig plan för skattepolitisk anpassning och för att bekämpa klimatförändringarna1.2.2023 10:00:00 EET | Tiedote

Covid-19-pandemin och den aktuella krisen har visat hur viktigt det är att regeringen klarar av att stimulera ekonomin. Med hänsyn till det långvariga underskottet i de offentliga finanserna bör den nya regeringens mandatperiod inledas med en trovärdig plan för skattepolitisk anpassning. Den allt stramare klimatpolitiken runtom i EU kommer även att påverka Finland.

Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvosto: Seuraavan hallituksen on luotava uskottava suunnitelma talouden vakauttamiseksi ja ilmastonmuutoksen torjumiseksi1.2.2023 10:00:00 EET | Tiedote

Pandemia ja Ukrainassa puhjennut sota ovat osoittaneet, että talouspolitiikan kyky tukea taloutta on tärkeää. Talouden pysyvän alijäämän johdosta uuden hallituksen tulisi aloittaa sopeutussuunnitelman toteuttaminen heti kautensa alussa. Euroopan tiukentuvilla ilmastotavoitteilla tulee olemaan taloudellisia vaikutuksia myös Suomelle.

Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvoston taustaraportti: Tasapalautus tehokkain tapa hyvittää polttoainekuluja pienituloisille18.1.2023 07:00:00 EET | Tiedote

Talouspolitiikan arviointineuvoston tuoreen taustaraportin mukaan könttäsummakorvaus olisi tehokkain tapa kompensoida pienituloisten autoilijoiden polttoainekuluja. Tulo- ja polttoaineverojen alentaminen hyödyttäisi enemmän korkeatuloisia kotitalouksia ja erityisesti polttoaineverojen madaltaminen laskisi autoilun kustannuksia ja pienentäisi kannustimia vähentää ajamista.

In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.

Visit our pressroom