Technology Revolutionizing Energy Mix but Policy Failing to Keep Pace – DNV GL Energy Transition Outlook Report
A technology-driven energy transition of staggering scale and speed will lead to a rapid decarbonization of the energy mix, with almost half our energy needs met by renewables by 2050, according to a new report. Plunging technology costs and market forces are driving the transition, but without bold policy intervention we will fall well short of the Paris climate goals. These are some of the findings of the third edition of the Energy Transition Outlook (ETO), which, owing to DNV GL’s independence and technical expertise, has become a respected voice in forecasting our energy future.
This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190910006000/en/
Technology Revolutionizing Energy Mix but Policy Failing to Keep Pace – DNV GL Energy Transition Outlook Report (Graphic: Business Wire)
The speed of the transition is demonstrated by a series of landmarks in the coming decade. Oil will peak in mid 2020s, capital expenditure (CAPEX) on grids and renewables will exceed fossil CAPEX by 2025, natural gas will overtake oil as the single largest energy source in 2026 and in 2030 the amount of energy produced will start to decline even in a world of growing GDP.
Electrification will transform how energy is produced and consumed. By midcentury, 40% of final energy demand will be met by electricity (up from 19% in 2017), 63% of which will be generated by solar PV and wind. Electrification is also having a dramatic effect on road transport and by 2032 half of new car sales globally will be electric. The intrinsic efficiency of electric engines means that despite a 75% expansion of the global vehicle fleet by 2050, road transportation will use less energy in 2050 than it does today.
“Existing technology can deliver the future we desire – including meeting the 1.5°C target set out in the Paris Agreement. So far, support for the energy transition has been too sporadic. For example, German, Japanese and Chinese support for the solar industry has been vital in transforming its energy mix and Norway’s and China’s uptake of EVs has been rapid because of government support. We need widespread policy supporting emerging technologies, and continuing the support in the build-up phase to accelerate the energy transition” said Remi Eriksen, Group President and CEO of DNV GL.
The technology exists to meet the Paris target, but policies must be put in place that promote greater energy efficiency, more renewables and industrial scale carbon capture and storage. DNV GL has proposed ten measures that could be implemented to limit global warming. These actions include; $1.5 trillion of annual investment in expanding and reinforcing energy grids, an 8-fold increase in renewable energy production by 2030 and a 50-fold increase in manufacturing of batteries for the 50 million electric vehicles needed per year, also by 2030. On the current path, CO2 emissions will peak in 2025 and will be about half the current level by mid-century, indicating a warming of 2.4 degrees by the end of the century.
Policy makers can be emboldened by the affordability of the energy transition. Global expenditure on energy is currently 3.6% of GDP but that will fall to 1.9% by 2050. This is due to a decline in spending on fossil fuels, and the rise of low-cost, efficient electrification that leads to operating savings which more than offset ongoing, substantial high CAPEX on grids. This is reflected in declining energy intensity – the amount of energy required per unit of GDP – which will improve at 2.4% per year through to 2050. Going forward, energy intensity declines faster than the global economy grows, which leads to a peak in world energy demand by 2030 – at that point humanity will start using less energy.
Download data from the ETO model
About DNV GL
DNV GL is a global quality assurance and risk management company. Driven by our purpose of safeguarding life, property and the environment, we enable our customers to advance the safety and sustainability of their business. Operating in more than 100 countries, our professionals are dedicated to helping customers in the maritime, oil & gas, power and renewables and other industries to make the world safer, smarter and greener.
Media Relations Manager
About Business Wire
For more than 50 years, Business Wire has been the global leader in press release distribution and regulatory disclosure.
Subscribe to releases from Business Wire
Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Latest releases from Business Wire
New Generation in Cryptocurrency Mining by BitHarp23.9.2019 17:45:00 EEST | Press release
Lyre Miner and Harp Miner, two recently released cryptocurrency mining rigs from www.BitHarp.com ( BitHarp Group Limited ), are quickly turning out to be gamechangers in the global crypto market. Within their short lifespan, these two products have shown promises of revolutionizing this thriving industry by offering superfast ROI for seasoned miners as well as beginners looking to try their hand at crypto mining. The ability of Lyre Miner and Harp Miner to generate quick return on investment can be attributed to the high hash rates of the products. The term hash rate may be referred to as the speed at which a given mining machine operates. A higher hash rate increases the opportunity of a miner to find the next block and receive the reward. Making things even better for the miners, Lyre Miner and Harp Miner have significantly low energy consumptions of 600W and 2400 W respectively. The hash rate powers offered by Lyre Miner and Harp Miner are mentioned below at a glance. Lyre Miner: 33
Jabil Photonics to Demonstrate Coherent SiP based 100G/200G CFP2-DCO Product at ECOC 201923.9.2019 15:48:00 EEST | Press release
Jabil (NYSE: JBL) today announced that its Photonics business unit, a leading provider of customized end-to-end design, manufacturing and test solutions for optical communication products, will be demonstrating its coherent 100G/200G CFP2-DCO module this week at the ECOC Exhibition (Hall 4, Booth 498) in Dublin, Ireland. Jabil’s CFP2-DCO is a hot-pluggable module designed to support single-wavelength data coherent transmission at 100Gbps using DP-QPSK and 200Gbps using DP-16QAM modulations. The CFP2-DCO is designed for DWDM networks ranging from metro and data-center interconnect (DCI) to long-haul applications, as well as 100Gbps point-to-point (P2P) coherent solutions for unamplified links in 5G and cable access networks up to 80km. Powered by Elenion Technologies’ next generation Silicon Photonics (SiP) coherent engine, the Jabil Photonics CFP2-DCO sets a new standard for price-performance. The module incorporates an ultra-narrow linewidth external cavity micro-ITLA laser with gridl
CE China 2019: Suning Launches New Biu Products23.9.2019 15:43:00 EEST | Press release
Premiere at CE China: The Chinese retail giant Suning, strategic partner of CE China, has seized the opportunity to present eight new products of its Biu product line for smart home appliances at the CE China in Guangzhou. On this occasion, fans of Biu were invited to the first ever Biu fan festival to attend the launch. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190923005490/en/ Suning Launches New Biu Products at CE China 2019 (Graphic: Business Wire) Behind closed curtains, selected Biu-fans were the first to learn about the premieres of intelligent smart home products at the booth of Suning on the trade show. Among others, Suning presented the new Biu air conditioner as a “pro version”, the "Little Dolphin" electric water heater and the "Little Seashells" gas water heater. Suning representatives also showed, how the different devices connect with each other. According to Suning, Biu will continue to focus on smart pr
FLIR Introduces M300 Series Marine Cameras23.9.2019 15:00:00 EEST | Press release
FLIR Systems (NASDAQ: FLIR) today announced the FLIR M300 Series, a new generation of maritime thermal cameras delivering advanced awareness-enhancing technologies, safer navigation, and seamless integration with onboard boat systems. FLIR M300 Series cameras are designed for the most demanding professional mariners and first responders who operate in the harshest marine environments. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190923005214/en/ FLIR M300 Series thermal imaging cameras for professional mariners and first responders provide safer navigation and increased situational awareness (Photo: Business Wire) The successor to FLIR’s industry-leading M-Series of maritime cameras, the next generation M300 Series consists of five models featuring rugged and robust new pan and tilt housings – four models with the FLIR Boson™ resolution thermal camera cores, plus a visible-only, high-definition (HD) model. The series is hi
Mary Kay, in Collaboration With UN Agencies, Launches Women’s Entrepreneurship Accelerator23.9.2019 15:00:00 EEST | Press release
Today, Mary Kay Inc., a leading advocate of women’s empowerment and entrepreneurship, announced the Women’s Entrepreneurship Accelerator, a multi-partner initiative designed to inspire, educate, and empower women entrepreneurs around the world. With no qualifying barriers to participate, the ground-breaking initiative is a strategic collaboration developed in consultation with six United Nations agencies: UN Women, United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP), International Labour Organization (ILO), International Trade Centre (ITC), UN Global Compact (UNGC), and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). The Accelerator will offer a guided digital curriculum supplemented by on-the-ground training and mentorship. In addition, it will serve as an advocacy platform to eliminate entrepreneurial roadblocks for women, ranging from digital literacy to legal reform—enabling women to fully participate in the growth of their local and national economies. The Accelerator will support glob
Western Union Expands Global Real-time Payment Capabilities for Millions of Consumers and Business Accounts23.9.2019 15:00:00 EEST | Press release
Sibos Conference – Western Union (NYSE: WU), a leader in cross-border, cross-currency money movement, today announced availability of its real-time cross-border platform to accelerate international consumer, consumer-to-business and business-to-consumer payments to eligible accounts, cards and digital wallets. The announcement marks an expansion of Western Union’s unique ability to leverage its core assets – including global settlement capabilities, network, compliance and technology systems – to enable international cross-border payments in minutes across multiple currencies. Globally recognized for daily cross-currency management and settlement via its vast retail network across 20,000 corridors or pairs of countries for consumers in local currency, the company’s expanded money in minutes platform will now power next-generation cross-border payment experiences for consumers and businesses across a multitude of sectors. “This is a prime example of how the global reach, inter-connected
In our pressroom you can read all our latest releases, find our press contacts, images, documents and other relevant information about us.Visit our pressroom